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2024-12-14 09:20:05

The Ministry of Commerce held a special meeting of the party group to emphasize the need to vigorously boost consumption. On the 13th, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao presided over a special meeting of the party group to convey the spirit of studying the Central Economic Work Conference and to study, deploy and implement the work. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption. We will intensify efforts to expand the scope, implement the trade-in policy for consumer goods, innovate diversified consumption scenarios, expand service consumption, and actively develop the first-round economy. It is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment. We will expand independent opening and unilateral opening in an orderly manner, steadily expand institutional opening, and promote the free trade pilot zone to improve quality and efficiency and expand the reform mandate. Efforts should be made to stabilize trade in goods and actively develop service trade, green trade and digital trade. We will deepen the reform of foreign investment promotion system and mechanism, steadily push forward the opening of service industry, expand the pilot projects in the fields of telecommunications, medical care and education, and continue to build the brand of "Investing in China". Promote high-quality joint construction of the "Belt and Road", deepen and improve the overseas comprehensive service system.Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.Market News: The European Central Bank will release the data of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) once a month from January 8 next year.


CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.In November, personal housing loans stabilized and rebounded. On December 13, the central bank released financial statistics for November 2024. The financial data was generally stable and maintained strong support for the real economy. It is noteworthy that the growth rate of household loans has been rising recently, mainly because personal loans have stabilized and rebounded. From the perspective of residents' departments, the short-term and medium-and long-term loans in the first 11 months increased by 1.29 trillion yuan and 453.8 billion yuan respectively, of which the medium-and long-term loans of residents increased by 66.9 billion yuan in November, increasing for two consecutive months. With the intensive introduction and effective implementation of a package of incremental policies, social expectations and market confidence are gradually picking up. Market experts generally predict that the effective financing demand in the market will be further improved, financial resources will flow more to major strategies, key areas and weak links, and financial support for the high-quality development of the real economy will be more powerful and effective. (21 Finance)Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)


Jiaying Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: It plans to buy back 7 million to 13.5 million shares. Jiaying Pharmaceutical announced that it plans to use its own funds to buy back some issued RMB common shares (A shares) by centralized bidding for the implementation of employee stock ownership plan or equity incentive. The price of repurchased shares is not higher than 9.80 yuan/share (inclusive), and the number of shares to be repurchased is not less than 7 million shares (inclusive), accounting for about 1.3793% of the company's total share capital; And no more than 13.5 million shares (inclusive), accounting for about 2.6600% of the company's total share capital. The repurchase period is within 12 months from the date when the company's board of directors deliberated and approved the share repurchase plan.The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,917.68 points, up 3.56 points.After RIOT bought 5117 Bitcoin for $510 million, its share price rose by 1.8% before the market.

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